Pertemps Final Free Bets Tips

Alfie Sherrin (7/2 with Stan James) is going to start at a very short price for this handicap, and could be a class above his rivals. But that means there is plenty of value about.

Silk Affair (14/1 with Bet365)  is interesting, being a winner at last season’s Festival, and she isn’t that much higher in the handicap. She really caught the eye at Sandown last time in a handicap where the last two Pertemps Final winners were also unplaced.

She is a 5yo, which is a negative but, in truth, not that many with big chances have run.

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As it is, I will be backing a couple of last-time-out winners on the day, given horses with such a profile have won more handicap hurdles than not since 1993 from less than 20% of runners.

I’m leaning towards Fredo (16/1 with Boylesport) and Prince Erik (10/1 with 888Sport) in this respect, who won qualifiers for this race last time out. Neither appears to have been done any great favours by the handicapper, but both were undeniably very easy winners of those qualifiers.

Smoking Aces (12/1 with William Hill) is another last-time-out winner to consider, and strikes me as a horse crying out for this step up to three miles so I can also see myself backing him.

Pertemps Final Tip

• Back Smoking Aces @ 12/1 with William Hill